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Objective:To investigate the value of CHA2DS2-VASc score for predicting percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) prognosis in patients with coronary chronic total occlusion.Methods:The clinical data of 139 patients with coronary chronic total occlusion who underwent PCI at the Second Hospital of Anhui Medical University from January 2019 to December 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. These patients were divided into good prognosis and poor prognosis groups according to prognosis outcomes. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to evaluate the influential factors of adverse events after PCI in patients with coronary chronic total occlusion. The receiver operating characteristic curves were plotted to evaluate the value of the CHA2DS2-VASc score for predicting the occurrence of adverse events in patients with coronary chronic total occlusion undergoing PCI.Results:Among the 139 patients with coronary chronic total occlusion, the average follow-up time was (19.88 ± 7.90) months, 19 (13.7%) patients had a poor prognosis, and 120 (86.3%) patients had a good prognosis. The age, uric acid, and CHA2DS2-VASc score in the poor prognosis group were 73 (65.0, 77.0) years, (383.26 ± 120.60) μmol/L, and 4 (3, 5) points, respectively, which were significantly higher than 66 (57.0, 71.8) years, (322.68 ± 91.88) μmol/L, and 3 (2, 4) points in the good prognosis group ( U = -2.74, t = 2.24, U = -3.09, all P < 0.05). However, the proportion of patients with the successful opening of the occluded coronary artery and albumin, hemoglobin, and triacylglycerol levels in the poor prognosis group were 11 (57.9%), 36.7 (34.4, 38.3) g/L, (120.26±19.74) g/L, and 1.03 (0.85, 1.49) mmol/L, respectively, which were significantly lower than 98 (81.7%)( χ2 = 4.16, P = 0.041), 39.3 (36.78, 42.1) g/L ( U = -2.85, P = 0.004), (133.62 ± 16.84) g/L ( t = 1.52, P = 0.002), and 1.52 (1.09, 2.25) mmol/L ( U =-2.13, P = 0.033) in the good prognosis group. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that CHA2DS2-VASc score was a risk factor for poor prognosis of patients with coronary chronic total occlusion undergoing PCI (95% CI: 1.137-2.274, P = 0.007). The receiver operating characteristic curve analysis results showed that the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve plotted for CHA2DS2-VASc score predicting poor prognosis in patients with coronary chronic total occlusion undergoing PCI was 0.716 (95% CI: 0.588-0.844, P = 0.003), with the cut-off point of 3.5, the sensitivity of 68.4%, and specificity of 66.7%, respectively. Conclusion:Compared with those with a good prognosis, patients with a poor prognosis have a higher CHA2DS2-VASc score. The CHA2DS2-VASc score has a certain application value for predicting mid- and long-term prognosis in patients with coronary chronic total occlusion who undergo PCI.
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Background: Acute right ventricular dysfunction (RVD) is a leading cause of death in the setting of acute pulmonary embolism (PE). Therefore, several studies investigated the predisposing factors of RVD. However, at present, little is known about the clinical predictors of RVD in the patients presented with acute PE. Objective: To assess the association of CHA2DS2-VASc Score with the PE severity, RVD and the in-hospital mortality in patients presented with acute PE. Methods: This study was conducted on 50 patients admitted with acute PE at Tanta University Hospitals. We studied the association of different variables including demographic data, common risk factors, clinical presentation, management and the in-hospital mortality with the PE clinical subgroups (massive, sub-massive and non-massive) based on the severity of clinical presentation and also the association of these variables with the thromboembolic risk (high, moderate and low) based on the CHA2DS2-VASc scores. The independent predictors of the RVD were then investigated by the univariate and multivariate regression analyses. Results: The massive PE presentation was associated with higher CHA2DS2-VASc scores (P value = 0.02). Also, the incidence of RVD was higher among the high risk group of patients (CHA2DS2-VASc scores ?3) with P value = 0.009. TAPSE, MPI, FAC, and E`/A` ratio were found to be more significant in the high risk group (P value = 0.032, 0.002, 0.007 and 0.001), respectively. The independent predictors of RVD were demonstrated to be tachycardia, lower systolic blood pressure and CHA2DS2-VASc score (P value = 0.022, 0.007, 0.021), respectively. The CHA2DS2-VASc score predicted the presence of RVD with 66.7 % sensitivity and 78.6% specificity as demonstrated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, with area under the curve (AUC) of 0.776 (CI 0.636-0.882, P value < 0.001). This study demonstrated no statistically significant difference between the different risk groups regarding the in-hospital mortality. Conclusion: Being independent of other factors, the CHA2DS2-VASc score can be used as a new, simple, and reliable tool to predict the development of RVD in patients with acute PE.
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SUMMARY BACKGROUND: The CHA2DS2-VASc score is used to determine thromboembolic risk in cases of atrial fibrillation. The predictive value of this score in predicting coronary collateral circulation in chronic total occlusion is unknown. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between the CHA2DS2-VASc score and coronary collateral circulation in patients with chronic total occlusion. METHODS: A total of 189 patients, who underwent coronary angiography and had a chronic total occlusion in at least one coronary artery, were enrolled in this study. The Rentrop scoring system was used for grouping the patients, and patients were classified as having poorly developed coronary collateral circulation (Rentrop grade 0 or 1) or well-developed coronary collateral circulation (Rentrop grade 2 or 3). RESULTS: The CHA2DS2-VASc score of the good coronary collateral circulation group was significantly lower than the other group (3.1±1.7 vs. 3.7±1.7, p=0.021). During the follow-up period, 30 (32.2%) patients in the poorly developed coronary collateral circulation group and 16 (16.7%) patients in the well-developed coronary collateral circulation group died (p=0.028). According to the multivariable Cox regression model, the CHA2DS2-VASc score [hazard ratio (HR): 1.262, p=0.009], heart rate (HR: 1.049, p=0.003), LVEF (HR: 0.975, p=0.039), mean platelet volume (HR: 1.414, p=0.028), and not taking acetylsalicylic acid during admission (HR: 0.514, p=0.042) were independently associated with a higher risk of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The CHA2DS2-VASc score is closely related to coronary collateral development and predicts mortality in patients with chronic total occlusion.
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Objectives:This study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of the CHA 2DS 2-VASc score for in-hospital outcomes of patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Methods:Data of 23 728 patients from the China patient-centered Evaluative Assessment of cardiac Events (China PEACE)Retrospective Acute Myocardial Infarction Study were analyzed retrospectively. The patients were categorized into 3 groups according to the CHA 2DS 2-VASc scores: the low score group (score 1-3), the middle score group (score 4-6) and the high score group (score 7-9). The in-hospital outcomes included major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), death, death or withdrawal from treatment, reinfarction, ischemic stroke,etc. The CHA 2DS 2-VASc score was incorporated into multivariate Cox regression analyses to determine its independent impact on in-hospital outcomes. Receiver operating Characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed, and the area under the curve (AUC) was used to evaluate the predictive value of the CHA 2DS 2-VASc score for in-hospital mortality and death or withdrawal from treatment, respectively. Results:The patients had a median age of 66 (56,75) years, and 30.7% of them were females. Patients with higher CHA 2DS 2-VASc scores had a higher in-hospital mortality and more in-hospital complications (all P<0.001). After adjustment of baseline covariates, the subjects in the high score group were associated with high risks of in-hospital mortality ( OR=6.13, 95% CI 4.77-7.87, P<0.001), death or treatment withdrawal ( OR=6.43, 95% CI 5.16-8.00, P<0.001) and MACE ( OR=4.94, 95% CI 4.06-6.01, P<0.001). The AUCs of the CHA 2DS 2-VASc score were comparable with those of the mini-global registry of acute coronary events(mini-GRACE)score in evaluation of in-hospital mortality (0.699 vs. 0.696, P=0.752) and the death or treatment withdrawal risk (0.708 vs. 0.713, P=0.489). Conclusions:The CHA 2DS 2-VASc score is an independent predictor of in-hospital outcomes for patients with AMI. Its predictive value was comparable with the mini-GRACE score, which could be used as a simple tool for early and rapid outcome evaluation for AMI patients.
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Objective:To explore the predictive effect of CHA2DS2-VASc score on the long-term prognosis of acute pulmonary embolism (APE).Methods:Patients who were diagnosed with acute pulmonary embolism in the department of respiratory medicine of Binzhou Second People′s Hospital and Hebei Provincial People′s Hospital from October 2014 to October 2018 were continuously included, and the included patients were divided into two groups according to the CHA2DS2-VASc score: 319 cases in the low CHA2DS2-VASc group (<4 points), and 79 cases in the high CHA2DS2-VASc group (≥4 points). Then the propensity score matching method was used to balance the covariates between the two groups, and then the CHA2DS2-VASc score was used to predict the long-term prognosis of acute pulmonary embolism.Results:The Geneva score, D-dimer level and APE-related adverse events in high CHA2DS2-VASc group were significantly higher than those with low CHA2DS2-VASc group, with statistically significant differences ( P<0.05). The multiple COX regression model showed that the incidence of pulmonary embolism associated adverse events was significantly increased 2.820-fold (95% CI: 1.366-5.822) in the high CHA2DS2-VASc group compared with in the low CHA2DS2-VASc group. After propensity score matching, high CHA2DS2-VASc score was still a strong predictor of poor prognosis in patients with acute pulmonary embolism ( HR: 3.421, 95% CI: 2.164-5.408). Conclusions:After using propensity score matching method balances confounding bias, high CHA2DS2-VASc score is still an independent prognostic risk factors of acute pulmonary embolism.
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Objective: This study explored the thromboembolism risk of low-risk atrial fibrillation (AF) patients (CHA2DS2-VASc score of 0 or 1 for male and 1 or 2 for female) with different clinical characteristics to provide the basis for anticoagulation decision-making in these patients. Methods: We prospectively enrolled consecutive 2 862 nonvalvular low-risk AF patients between August 2011 to December 2018 in China-AF (China Atrial Fibrillation Registry) Study, their CHA2DS2-VASc score was 0 or 1 for male and 1 or 2 for female. According to their age, sex, presence or absence of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, congestive heart failure, and vascular disease at the time of enrolling, patients were divided into CHA2DS2-VASc score 0 score group, 1 score group, and 2 score group. Patients were followed up every 6 months by outpatient clinic visit or telephone interview. The outcome was a thromboembolic event, including ischemic stroke and systemic embolism. Univariate Cox regression analysis was used to compare the thromboembolism risk between the patients with different risk factors and CHA2DS2-VASc score 0 group. Results: A total of 2 862 low-risk atrial fibrillation patients were enrolled in this study. 915 patients (32.0%) were female, and age was (55.0±10.7) years old. There were 933 patients (32.6%) in CHA2DS2-VASc score 0 group, 1 401 patients (49.0%) in score 1 group and 528 patients (18.5%) in score 2 group. During follow-up (median 1.5 years, 5 811.82 person-years), 33 cases of thromboembolic events were recorded, the annual rate of thromboembolism was 0.57% (95%CI 0.40%~0.80%). The number of thromboembolic events in patients with CHA2DS2-VASc score 0, 1 and 2 were 8, 11 and 14, respectively, and the annual thromboembolism event rates were 0.40% (95%CI 0.20%-0.81%), 0.39% (95%CI 0.22%-0.71%) and 1.34% (95%CI 0.80%-2.27%), respectively. The risk of thromboembolism of CHA2DS2-VASc score 2 group (HR=3.53, 95%CI 1.48-8.44; P=0.005), especially female patients aged 65-74 years in CHA2DS2-VASc score 2 group (HR=2.67, 95%CI 1.63-4.38; P<0.000) was significantly higher than that in patients of CHA2DS2-VASc score 0 group. Conclusion: Low-Risk Atrial Fibrillation patients with CHA2DS2-VASc score 2, especially female patients aged 65-74 years old with CHA2DS2-VASc score 2 are at higher risk of thromboembolism in low-risk AF patients. For such patients, intensified oral anticoagulant therapy might be helpful to reduce the risk of thrombolism.
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Adult , Aged , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Anticoagulants , Atrial Fibrillation , China , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Stroke , ThromboembolismABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE@#To test the performance of CHADS-VASc score in predicting stroke recurrence in first-ever ischemic stroke survivors without atrial fibrillation (AF).@*METHODS@#A total of 768 patients were included in this study, including 475 male (61.85%) and 293 female patients (38.15%) with a mean age of 61.52±12.59 years (17-90 years). The baseline information of the patients was collected by face-to-face questionnaire survey and electronic medical record review, and their follow-up information was collected by telephone follow-up once every 3 months. Chi-square test and Wilcoxon rank sum test were used to compare the baseline characteristics between the patients regularly followed up and those withdrawn from the study. The area under the ROC curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio and other indicators of CHADS-VASc score were determined, and C-index based on Cox proportional hazards model was used to evaluate the performance of CHADS- VASc score in predicting the risk of stroke recurrence in patients at different time points during the follow-up.@*RESULTS@#The 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year recurrence rate of stroke was 10.59%, 20.45%, and 29.46% in these patients, respectively. The AUC value, Optimal Operating Point (OOP) and the corresponding positive likelihood ratios (LR+) for predicting stroke recurrence were 0.558 (95%: 0.492-0.624), 4.5, and 1.256 at 1 year; 0.574 (95%: 0.517-0.630), 4.5, and 1.397 at 3 years; and 0.604 (95%: 0.548-0.661), 4.5, and 1.655 at 5 years, respectively. Sensitivity analysis of congestive heart failure showed that the predictive effect of CHADS-VASc score was basically unchanged.@*CONCLUSIONS@#CHADS-VASc score can be used to predict the 3-year and 5-year risk of stroke recurrence in first-ever ischemic stroke survivors without AF. The score has a better prediction ability for long-term stroke recurrence, but the prediction value remains low, suggesting the need to further improve the score or establish a new score for predicting stroke recurrence.
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Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Young Adult , Atrial Fibrillation , Brain Ischemia , Predictive Value of Tests , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Stroke , SurvivorsABSTRACT
Background CHA2DS2-VASc score, used for atrial fibrillation to assess the risk of embolic complications, have shown to predict adverse clinical outcomes in acute coronary syndrome (ACS), irrespective of atrial fibrillation. This study envisaged to assess the predictive role of CHA2DS2-VASc score for contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) in patients with ACS undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Methods A total of 300 consecutive patients with ACS undergoing PCI were enrolled in this study. CHA2DS2-VASc score was calculated for each patient. These patients were divided into two groups as Group 1 (with CIN) and Group 2 (without CIN). CIN was defined as increase in serum creatinine level ≥0.5 mg/dL or ≥25% increase from baseline within 48 h after PCI. After receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, the study population was again classified into two groups: CHA2DS2-VASc score ≤3 group (Group A) and score ≥4 group (Group B). Results CIN was reported in 41 patients (13.6%). Patients with CIN had a higher frequency of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and had a lower left ventricular ejection fraction and baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed good predictive value of CHA2DS2-VASc score for CIN (area under the curve 0.81, 95% CI 0.73–0.90). Patients with a CHA2DS2-VASc score of ≥4 had a higher frequency of CIN as compared with patients with score ≤3 (56.8% vs 4.8%; p = 0.0001) with multivariate analysis demonstrating CHA2DS2-VASc score of ≥4 to be an independent predictor of CIN. Conclusion In patients with ACS undergoing PCI, CHA2DS2-VASc score can be used as a novel, simple, and a sensitive diagnostic tool for the prediction of CIN
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Objectives: To investigate the predictive value of CHA2DS2-VASc score for contrast induced nephropathy (CIN) after percutaneous coronary intervention in patients with coronary heart disease. Methods: A total of 356 patients undergoing elective percutaneous coronary intervention were enrolled in this study. The patients were divided into two groups according to the CHA2DS2-VASc score: CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥ 3 (n=153) and ≤ 2 (n=203). Baseline data, incidence of CIN and major adverse cardiovascular events were analyzed and compared between the two groups. The predictive effect of CHA2DS2-VASc score was analyzed with receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) and logistic regression analysis. Results: Left ventricular ejection fraction was significantly lower, baseline serum creatinine value was significantly higher, coronary lesions were more complex, contrast agent dosage used was significantly larger and the incidence of CIN was significantly higher in patients of the CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥ 3 group than in patients of CHA2DS2-VASc score ≤ 2 group (all Pvalues<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that CHA2DS2-VASc score≥3 was an independent predictor of CIN (OR=2.152, 95% CI: 1.261-3.987, P=0.032). The area under the curve of ROC of CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥ 3 for predicting CIN was 0.749 (sensitivity 76.9%, specificity 73.0%). Conclusions: CHA2DS2-VASc score could predict the CIN after percutaneous coronary intervention in patients with coronary heart disease, which could help us identify the high-risk patients of CIN and take preventive measures to reduce the incidence of CIN post percutaneous coronary intervention.
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PURPOSE: Despite undergoing successful catheter ablation of typical atrial flutter (AFL), patients remain at increased risk for ischemic stroke. However, data on risk prediction tools for the development of stroke after AFL ablation are lacking. This study investigates whether CHA₂DS₂-VASc score is useful for predicting ischemic stroke after successful ablation of typical AFL. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 293 patients (236 men, mean age 56.1±13.5 years) who underwent successful radiofrequency catheter ablation for typical AFL were included in this study. The clinical end point was occurrence of ischemic stroke during follow-up after AFL ablation. RESULTS: During the follow-up period (60.8±45.9 months), ischemic stroke occurred in 18 (6%) patients at a median of 34 months (interquartile range, 13–65 months). CHA₂DS₂-VASc score [hazard ratio 2.104; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.624–2.726; p < 0.001] was an independent predictor for the occurrence of stroke after AFL ablation. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was 0.798 (95% CI, 0.691–0.904). The CHA₂DS₂-VASc score could be used to stratify patients into two groups with different incidences of ischemic stroke (1.6% vs. 14.4%, p < 0.001) at a cutoff value of 2. CONCLUSION: CHA₂DS₂-VASc score is useful in a prediction model for the risk of stroke after catheter ablation of typical AFL.
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Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Female , Humans , Middle Aged , Atrial Flutter/surgery , Brain Ischemia/epidemiology , Catheter Ablation/adverse effects , Follow-Up Studies , Incidence , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Predictive Value of Tests , Prognosis , Proportional Hazards Models , ROC Curve , Risk Assessment/methods , Seoul/epidemiology , Stroke/epidemiology , Treatment OutcomeABSTRACT
Objective: To explore the relationship between prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF), iskhemia stoke and CHA2DS2-VASc score in patients≥65 years in order to provide prevention and treatment basis in clinical practice. Methods: A total of 5016 patients admitted in our hospital from 2013-10 to 2015-10 were enrolled. The patients were divided into 2 groups: AF group, n=437 and Non-AF patients, n=4579; according to age, the patients were further assigned into 4 subgroups as <65 years subgroup, (65-74) years subgroup, (75-84) years subgroup and ≥85 years subgroup. The risk factors for AF occurrence were retrospectively studied. Results: Compared with the Non-AF group, the patients in AF group had the elder age and more male gender, both P<0.001; more patients combining with hypertension, coronary artery disease (CAD), diabetes, sick sinus syndrome and rheumatic heart disease, all P<0.001. Age, male gender, CAD, sick sinus syndrome and rheumatic heart disease were the independent risk factors for AF occurrence. Compared with Non-AF group, AF group showed the higher prevalence rate of ischemic stroke and the elder onset age, both P<0.01. For non-valvular AF, the ratio of patients with CHA2DS2-VASc score≥2 was higher than those with CHA2DS2-VASc score<2 and the rate of anticoagulant therapy was decreasing by age increasing, all P<0.001. Conclusion: Age, male gender, CAD, sick sinus syndrome and rheumatic heart disease were independently related to AF occurrence. Non-valvular AF patients had the higher risk for ischemic stroke than non-AF patients, anticoagulation therapy should be conducted at the early stage.
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Objective To analyze the clinical and laboratory characteristics of the ischemic stroke in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF), and to provide evidence for the prevention of ischemic stroke. Methods A total of 198 patients with ischemic stroke were chosen and divided into two groups:with AF (71 patients)/and without AF (127 patients) groups. Clinical data and biochemical markers were collected and compared in two groups. CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc score systems were used to determine the risk levels in patients with AF. Finally, related risk factors of ischemic stroke with AF were determined and analyzed. Results The values of age, length of hospital stay, the hypertention history, heart rate and plasma homocysteine (Hcy) were significantly higher in the with-AF group than those in the without-AF group ( P <0.05). The levels of total cholesterol (TC), triglyceride (TG) and very low density lipoprotein cholesterol (VLDL-C) were sig?nificantly lower in the with-AF group than those of the without-AF group (P<0.05). CHA2DS2-VASc scores reached to the moderate-to-high risk level in the with-AF group. Multiple-factor logistic regression analysis showed that age and heart rate were the independent risk factors of the ischemic stroke in patients with non-valvular AF. ROC analysis indicated that age (AUC=0.761, cut-off point=72.50 years old) and heart rate (AUC=0.612, cut-off point=76.50 bit/min) had predictive and di?agnostic value for the ischemic stroke in patients with non-valvular AF. The age of these patients had the best sensitivity (70.4%) and specifity (71.1%), and the cut-off point of which was 72.50 years old. Conclusion The characteristics of isch?emic stroke in patients with non-valvular AF includes older age, faster heart rate, higher CHA2DS2-VASc scores and higher Hcy level.
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Objective To investigate the predictive value of CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc score in left atrial (LA) or left atrial appendage (LAA) thrombus in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF). Methods A total of 164 consecu?tive non-valvular AF patients confirmed by transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) were included in this study, and were divided into two groups, LA/LAA thrombus group and non LA/LAA thrombus group. The previous history was recorded in two groups of patients. Their CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASC scores were calculated based on the general data of two groups. The laboratory examinations and TEE indexes were compared between two gropes. Results Of all patients, the rate of LA/LAA thrombus was 19.5%. The CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASC scores were significantly higher in LA/LAA thrombus group than those of non LA/LAA thrombus group (2.1±1.3 vs 1.0±0.9, 3.4±1.8 vs 1.9±1.4,P<0.01). There were 13(11.9%) and 5 (8.8%) patients showed LA/LAA thrombus under low-moderate risk in the two score systems, respectively. Multivariate logis?tic regression analysis showed that CHADS2 score≥2 points(OR=3.735, 95%CI:1.508-9.251, P=0.004) and CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥2 points (OR=5.104, 95%CI:1.586-16.425, P=0.006) were independent risk factors of LA/LAA thrombus. ROC curve showed that AUC of CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores to predict LA/LAA thrombus were 0.731 (95%CI:0.630-0.832, P<0.001) and 0.742 (95%CI:0.640-0.843, P<0.001), respectively. Conclusion CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASC score ≥2 points are independent risk factors of LA/LAA thrombus in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation. The pre?dictive values of both score systems are moderate. There are also LA/LAA thrombus in low-moderate risk patients when us?ing the two score systems, and with the increased risk stratification, the rate of LA/LAA thrombus is increased.
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Aims and Objectives: Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is the most common arrhythmia after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery. The identification of patients at risk for POAF would be helpful to guide prophylactic therapy. Presently, there is no simple preoperative scoring system available to predict patients at higher risk of POAF. In a retrospective observational study, we evaluated the usefulness of CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score to predict POAF after CABG. Materials and Methods: After obtaining approval from Institutional Review Board, 729 patients undergoing CABG on cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) were enrolled. Patients were followed in the postoperative period for POAF. A multiple regression analysis was run to predict POAF from various variables. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was calculated to test discriminatory power of CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score to predict POAF. Results: POAF occurred in 95 (13%) patients. The patients with POAF had higher CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc scores than those without POAF (4.09 ± 0.90 vs. 2.31 ± 1.21; P < 0.001). The POAF rates after cardiac surgery increased with increasing CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc scores. The odds ratio for predicting POAF was highest with higher CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc scores (3.68). When ROC curve was calculated for the CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc scores, area of 0.87 was obtained, which was statistically significant (P < 0.0001). Conclusions: The CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score was found useful in predicting POAF after CABG. This scoring system is simple and convenient to use in the preoperative period to alert the clinician about higher probability of POAF after CABG surgery.
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Adult , Aged , Atrial Fibrillation/etiology , Cardiopulmonary Bypass/adverse effects , Coronary Artery Bypass/adverse effects , Female , Humans , Middle Aged , Postoperative Complications , Postoperative Period , Research Design/methods , Retrospective StudiesABSTRACT
Objective To study the relationship between CHA2DS2-VASc score and intracranial atherosclerosis, Chinese ischemic stroke subclassification (CISS) classification and the early neurological outcomes in ischemic stroke pa-tients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF), and to evaluate the clinical value of CHA2DS2-VASc score. Methods The retrospective analysis method was used. The data from 149 cases of ischemic stroke patients with NVAF was retro-spectively analyzed. The clinical data mainly included clinical manifestations, routine lab tests, imaging examinations such as the color-echo doppler, brain CT and/or MRI and angiographic studies of CTA and/or MRA of brain, CHA2DS2-VASc score, the CISS and the National Institutes of Health stroke scale (NIHSS). Results The CHA2DS2-VASc score was significantly higher in patients with intracranial atherosclerosis than those without [(5.13±1.39) vs. (4.14±1.67)] (P<0.05). The occurrence rates of intracranial atherosclerosis were significantly different among different CHA 2DS2-VASc score subgroups (0~1, 2~3, 4~5 and≥6 subgroups) (P<0.05). There were significant differences in CHA2DS2-VASc score among CS+LAA group, CS+LAA+PAD,group CS, group and CS+PAD group (all P<0.05). There was statistical difference in CHA2DS2-VASc score between patients with and without improvements (P<0.05). Conclusion The CHA2DS2-VASc score may be associated with concomitant intracranial atherosclerosis of ischemic stroke patients with NVAF which can be used to predict the condition of intracranial atherosclerosis. The CHA2DS2-VASc score is positively correlated with se-verity of ischemic stroke with NVAF which can be used to predict the disease improvements in patient with NVAF.
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Objective: To evaluate the values of CHADS2 score, CHA2DS2-VASc score, and sel--modified CHA2DS2-VASc-LA2 score in predicting left atrial thrombus (LAT) in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). Methods: A total of 203 NVAF patients who underwent transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) examination and cardiac multislice CT scans before AF radiofrequency ablation in our department from June 2007 to June 2012 were included in this study. LAT was detected by TEE in 39 patients (thrombosis group) and not detected in 164 patients (control group). The patients' general condition, medical history, admission examination, CHADS2 score and CHA2DS2-VASc score were subjected to univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis. Then a new CHA2DS2-VAS-LA2 scoring system was formed by combining le!t atrial volume index (LAVI), recording LAVI ≥32 mL/m2 as 2 points and CHA2DS2-VASc score, which was based on the results of logistic regression analysis. The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was used to compare the values of CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc and CHA2DS2-VASc-LA2 scores for predicting LAT formation in NVAF patients. Results: ROC curve analysis showed that CHADS2 score had a low predictive value (AUC [area under the curve] = 0.661, P = 0.002); CHA2DS2-VASc score (AUC=0. 731, P<0. 001) and CHA2DS2-VASc-LA2 score (AUC= 0.771, P<0.001) had middle predictive values. The CHA2DS2-VASc-LA2 scores of the three patients with CHADS2 score being 0 in thrombosis group was increased, and there was no patient in the thrombosis group with CHA2DS2-VAS-LA2 score being 0. Conclusion: Compared with CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc systems, CHA2DS2-VASc-LA2 score has a better performance in predicting LAT in low-risk patients with NVAF. It is also suggested that pre-ablation TEE may be unnecessary f the CHA2DS2-VASc-LA2 score is 0.